Pie.GravityWell.xYzDidn't he ask the wrong question?
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pelespirithttps://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/ee917b89-4b8c-49d7-bcc7-fb8d4245e984.png
I think the question should have been, what is the probability of a bomb going off if there are 2 bombs on the plane.
Taking a bomb with you when you fly reduces your chances of blowing up on a plane because there’s probably at least a 20% chance TSA will stop you before you get on the plane.
I doubt the TSA has that high a success rate
it’s less than 5 percent iirc
The right question is “what is the probability of someone else bringing a bomb on the plane”, which is independent of whether or not you bring your own.
Required reading for a course I took
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trust_in_Numbers
Basically, it’s difficult to make numbers tell the truth, but somehow people really trust things that are quantifiable, and it’s totally unwarranted.
I mean, except, you know, for it being the very bedrock foundation for all of STEM.
Totally agree!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Unreasonable_Effectiveness_of_Mathematics_in_the_Natural_Sciences
But also … Lies, damned lies, and statistics
Absolutely, or rather I should say relatively.
Like “an electron can be in multiple places at once” is also a lie, except that “an electron may have multiple solutions to its waveform equation” is a better formulation of the truth.
It is not so much numbers - or at least not them only that lie - so much as that the human brain is desperate to make use of literally anything and everything it can to achieve its objectives. And numbers happen to be powerful so it loves to grab ahold of those, but it would just as readily grab ahold of a bowl of petunias as we all plummet collectively down through the gravity well of time, decrying “not again”.
We would all do well to be more skeptical of things than we are now. And not only about numbers.
Nice link!
I think No Game No Life explained probability theory exceedingly well.
And now I’m sad we never got another season.
Again.
I mean, we’re getting a Psyren anime later this year, so anything is possible.
And now I gotta rewatch the one and only season we’ll get for like the 8th time to remind me of what we could’ve had